Converging Futures (Q3 2025)

Share a Letter from the Future. Make a Promise toward a specific letter. Watch themes merge into a shared vision.

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A Letter from 2027

A Vision of the Unrival Movement

Estimated Read Time: 5 minutes

About this exercise: This isn't a prediction—it's a thought experiment. We're exploring what might be possible if certain approaches to trust and commitment actually worked at scale. Think of it as "what if we got our act together?" rather than "here's what will happen."

Autumnal Equinox, 2027

Dear changemaker and exhausted inhabitant of the tumultuous third quarter of 2025,

I write in a spirit of hope and solidarity—but also urgency, hoping to convey something of the tremendous agency latent in your world right now. Keep running the race to awaken it, even as things appear to grow graver. Now more than ever, look within for a vision of a future marked by beauty and possibility—one within reach if you dare to define it and live toward it.

Having made it through the last two years, I can report that an unequivocally positive cultural moment is in the air—a relief we've never needed more. I want to tell you about the part of this change I witnessed firsthand.

The Beginning: A Circle of Ambassadors

It started, as world-changing things always do, with a small group. I remember its inception clearly. We were a circle of ambassadors to the subconscious—hypnotists—and we knew we had access to a unique leverage point for transformation, even as the whole world was crying out for it.

But here's what made us different: we weren't just another group of well-meaning practitioners. We understood something fundamental about the architecture of the human mind. As Dr. John Kappas once articulated with startling clarity:

"Before we begin to explore the way in which our life script is written by our subconscious mind, you will have to accept one fact. The TRUTH ABOUT YOURSELF is that YOU ARE A SUCCESS! Yes, right now! No matter how down-and-out you may feel, you have succeeded in carrying out your current life script. You were programmed by your past, and success in any endeavor means carrying out your subconscious plans. You have done this well. The only problem is that your subconscious script is not the pattern you want for your present and future."

— Dr. John Kappas

This insight became our north star. We weren't trying to fix broken people—we were helping successful executors of unconscious scripts rewrite their programming.

The Iceberg Problem

Picture the human mind as an iceberg. The conscious, goal-seeking mind—everything you think determines your behavior—accounts for only about 12% of total mental activity. The unconscious, that vast 88% beneath the surface, often pursues aims completely at odds with our conscious goals. We'd been trying to steer the ship by rearranging deck chairs on the visible tip while ignoring the massive force beneath.

Iceberg Model of ConsciousnessAn illustration of an iceberg. The small tip above the water is labeled 'CONSCIOUS ~12%'. The large, submerged mass below the water is labeled 'UNCONSCIOUS ~88%'.CONSCIOUS~12%UNCONSCIOUS~88%
The conscious mind (12%) vs. the unconscious mind (88%) that truly steers behavior.

But the real breakthrough came when we realized this same pattern operated at every level of society. Justas individuals have unconscious programming that sabotages conscious aims, society has a collective unconscious—deep scripts that oppose our stated goals. We hadn't failed as a civilization; we'd succeeded brilliantly at executing a script no one consciously wanted.

The Four-Front War We Were All Losing

For years, we'd all been fighting on separate fronts, each convinced our approach was the answer:

Mindset
The inner-individual realm, mastered by hypnotists and therapists.
Behavior
The outer-individual sphere, addressed through policy and incentives.
Culture
Our inner-collective programming, the focus of deep, slow work.
Systems
The outer-collective structures built by technologists and reformers.
Four Quadrants of Change ModelA diagram showing four quadrants. The top-left is Mindset (Inner-Individual). The top-right is Culture (Inner-Collective). The bottom-left is Behavior (Outer-Individual). The bottom-right is Systems (Outer-Collective).IndividualCollectiveInnerOuterMindset(Inner-Individual)Culture(Inner-Collective)Behavior(Outer-Individual)Systems(Outer-Collective)

We were all trying to solve a four-dimensional problem with one-dimensional solutions. Like the blind men describing an elephant, each of us had a piece of the truth but mistook it for the whole.

The Bridge: From Insight to Integration

The movement that emerged—which we called Unrival—wasn't born from a single discovery but from integration. The name itself carried a dual meaning that emerged almost spontaneously from our early dialogues: to outcompete or transcend old patterns, and to undo the rivalry between our inner intentions and outer reality. Did it arise through spontaneous dialogos, or was it clever marketing? We're no longer certain, and perhaps that ambiguity is part of its power.

What made Unrival revolutionary was how it bridged the inner and outer dimensions of change. We started with our hypnotic leverage point—helping individuals align their conscious goals with subconscious programming. But we knew individual transformation without systemic change was like trying to swim upstream in a toxic river.

The Technology That Changed Everything: The Promise

This is where things got interesting. We developed something deceptively simple yet profound: the Public Promise. By making carefully crafted commitments and recording their fulfillment—kept or broken—as a matter of public record, we created something unprecedented: integrity as a trackable metric.

A large wooden Trojan horse, symbolizing a powerful, hidden change agent.
The Promise was our Trojan Horse—a simple gift that carried a revolutionary change within.

Think about it: throughout history, trust has been the most valuable yet unmeasurable currency. Politicians promise, corporations pledge, individuals commit—but accountability remained ethereal. The Public Promise changed that. It connected a person's inner commitment (Mindset) to their public actions (Behavior) and held them accountable in a way that rebuilt our collective trust (Culture) and reformed our institutions (Systems).

How This Actually Works

We've built a technical specification that tracks objective metrics like punctuality and follow-through using platform timestamps—no recordings required, privacy-first by default.

View technical details
// Core Promise Object
{
  "promiseId": "pm_...",
  "promiserId": "coach_...",
  "standardRef": "/coaching/session/_coachPunctualWithinMinutes@0.1.0",
  "params": {"minutes": 5},
  "evidence": {"types": ["zoom.join_leave_ts"]},
  "result": "pass | minor_breach | major_breach"
}
Development Status (Sept 2025):
  • Promise Schema v0.1 in draft
  • Recruiting 10-15 pilot coaches
  • First test sessions planned Q4 2025
Target: 500+ tracked sessions by Q2 2026
Common concerns about this approach

Q: Isn't this just surveillance?
A: Everything is private by default. Public visibility requires explicit opt-in.

Q: What about gaming the system?
A: We track patterns across time and use multiple evidence sources. Gaming becomes obvious.

Q: This sounds too good to be true.
A: Fair. That's why we're publishing all our data and methods openly.

BEFORE

🤷

Trust = ?

No verifiable signals

AFTER

cRI: 94% | TR: 89%

Verified timestamps
Objective evidence

Within months, the evidence we generated for the efficacy of this approach was unparalleled. It became difficult to deny that the mind's power—channeled through commitment and accountability—could yield therapeutic and societal benefits few in mainstream institutions were comfortable admitting. "Just imagine the impact of this power finally being understood," people remarked as it unfolded.

The Cascade Effect

Of course, popularizing a single modality wasn't the point—it was the first domino. Once merit became demonstrable in one arena, the effects cascaded in ways we never anticipated:

  1. Individuals who aligned their conscious and unconscious minds discovered staggering personal agency.
  2. This personal integrity, made visible through Public Promises, began rebuilding social trust.
  3. As trust grew and people succeeded together, we began healing our collective culture.
  4. New systems emerged organically, designed around transparency and mutual accountability.

The Oldest Technology, The Newest Era

What we discovered wasn't new—it was perhaps the oldest technology imaginable: the Promise. But by combining this ancient social technology with modern understanding of consciousness, collective behavior, and systematic change, we unlocked something profound. We showed, beyond reasonable doubt, that a new era of healing and transformation had arrived.

Your Turn

The future you're hoping for is possible. The tools are all around you—scattered across disciplines, hidden in separate silos, waiting to be integrated via a declared inten. The work isn't to invent something new but to bridge what already exists by declaring your intentions to make them viable.

Look for the hypnotists and the healers working on Mindset. Find the reformers changing Behavior. Connect with the artists and philosophers shifting Culture. Partner with the builders creating new Systems. And most importantly, understand that you need all four.

The race isn't just to awaken agency—it's to integrate it across every dimension of change. That's the real promise of Unrival: not a single solution, but a unified approach to the magnificent, messy work of human transformation.

Add your letter →

Keep running. We're waiting for you on the other side.

With solidarity and hope,
A witness to the turning


The Converging Futures Technique

Letter from the Future helps each of us articulate a vivid, desirable end-state. Converging Futures takes the next step: it lets many letters live side-by-side, then merges themes and commitments until a viable shared vision emerges—made real through public promises toward specific letters.

How it works (simple 4-step ritual)

  1. Write & Share a Letter. Add your “Letter from the Future” (title + link).
  2. Browse & Notice Motifs. Scan others’ letters. Note overlaps in outcomes, values, and “conditions of satisfaction.”
  3. Make a Promise toward a Specific Letter. Choose one letter you want to advance and make a TOMT promise referencing that letter (include the letter’s title or URL).
  4. Converge. As themes and promises cluster, we synthesize a shared vision—keeping denominators visible (kept and broken) and folding learning back into the next round of letters and promises.

The "Retrograde Analysis" Technique

A vision is inspiring, but it is not a plan. Retrograde analysis is the technique of working backward from a future success to map the critical path that leads to it. If the letter is the "destination," this analysis is the "map." Instead of asking "What do we do next?", ask, "For our future vision to be true, what must have already happened the year before?"

Q3 2025: The Founding Moment

Q4 2025: Proof of Concept

Q1 2026: Standards and Scale

Q2 2026: Product-Market Fit

Q3-Q4 2026: The Cascade Effect

Q1-Q2 2027: Systems Integration

Q3 2027: The Turning

The Unrival Movement: A Complete Retrograde Synthesis (Q3 2025 → September 2027)

A synthesis of retrograde analyses applied to our letter from the future

Why This Is Not "Waterfall" (i.e. a rigid plan we are committing to)

This analysis was created through backwards induction—starting from a desirable 2027 outcome and working backward to identify what must have happened in each prior period. It took about 5 minutes to generate and serves as a "litmus test" for what might be feasibly accomplished, not a rigid plan to execute.

Critical difference from waterfall: Each step can be adjusted based on what you learn from act-sense-respond cycles. If "Launch three pilot programs" proves infeasible as described, adapt it. The value is in having a coherent direction that helps evaluate whether you're making meaningful progress toward the larger vision.

Think of this as structured improvisation—a framework that provides direction while remaining completely amenable to course corrections as reality provides feedback.

The Core Architecture

Between now and September 2027, a movement called "Unrival" will emerge and scale, fundamentally altering how society measures and builds trust. At its heart lies a deceptively simple innovation: the Public Promise—a standardized way to declare commitments, track their fulfillment, and create visible integrity metrics that rebuild social capital across all levels of society.

The movement succeeds not through any single breakthrough but through the precise integration of four dimensions that previous reform efforts treated separately: individual mindset (the inner-individual), observable behavior (the outer-individual), collective culture (the inner-collective), and institutional systems (the outer-collective). This integration, combined with a focus on the right leverage points at the right time, creates cascading effects that transform isolated experiments into widespread cultural change.

Q3 2025: The Founding Moment (Your Present)

Immediate Objectives (Q3 2025)

  • Publish the Unrival Letter from the Future on-site (shareable anchor).
  • Launch Converging Futures infrastructure: Letters form · Letters ledger · Promises form · Promises ledger. Link in nav & hero; share links.
  • Publish the Converging Futures technique explainer section (with CTAs) on the site.

The Coalition Forms

A circle of hypnotists, recognizing their unique access to the unconscious mind's programming, convenes with behavioral scientists, product designers, civic innovators, and systems thinkers. They share a diagnosis: society isn't broken—it's successfully executing unconscious scripts that no one consciously wants. The iceberg metaphor becomes central: the conscious mind (12%) keeps trying to steer while the unconscious (88%) drives toward different destinations.

The Core Constraint Identified

Using Theory of Constraints analysis, the group identifies trust-as-proof as the system's primary bottleneck. Without reliable signals of integrity, cooperation becomes prohibitively expensive, leading to the fragmentation everyone experiences. The market for collaboration is constrained not by capability but by verifiability.

The First Artifacts

Within 30-60 days, three critical pieces emerge:

  • The Promise Schema v0.1: A minimal specification with fields for actor, intention, conditions of satisfaction, deadline, verification method, privacy level, and repair pathways. This is designed to work with existing W3C Verifiable Credentials standards and optional blockchain-free attestation systems.
  • The Hypnosis-Informed Protocol: A 20-30 minute session combining:
    • Pre-talk to clarify controllable commitments
    • Trance induction for accessing unconscious alignment
    • Future-pacing to rehearse both success and renegotiation
    • Post-trance Promise capture while still in a suggestible state
    • Automated witness notifications
  • The Ethical Framework: Voluntary participation only, no promises on non-controllable outcomes, cooling-off periods, explicit consent for visibility levels, and clear escalation paths for manipulation or coercion concerns.

Initial Metrics Definition

The movement establishes its key performance indicators:

  • PKR (Promise-Kept Rate): Percentage of promises fulfilled
  • CG (Calibration Gap): Delta between predicted and actual completion
  • LtF (Latency-to-Fulfillment): Time from commitment to completion
  • Repair Rate: Percentage of broken promises with documented learning/restitution

Q4 2025: Proof of Concept

The First Cohorts

Three pilot programs launch simultaneously:

  • A startup accelerator (50 founders making product delivery promises)
  • A mutual aid network (100 members making community support promises)
  • A municipal department (30 staff making service delivery promises)

Each uses the same core protocol but adapts the framing to their context. Early results show 65-75% PKR on 30-60 day goals, beating matched baselines by 10-15 percentage points.

Technical Infrastructure

A minimal viable product emerges: a simple web form that creates tamper-evident records, optional peer verification, and a public dashboard showing aggregate statistics. Privacy is preserved through selective disclosure—public summaries with private details.

The Name Crystallizes

"Unrival" is chosen for its dual meaning: to transcend (un-rival) old patterns and to end the rivalry between inner intentions and outer reality. The movement's visual identity centers on the iceberg metaphor and the four-quadrant integration map.

Evidence Generation

Pre-registered studies begin, comparing Promise-aligned cohorts with traditional goal-setting controls. Researchers from multiple disciplines contribute: psychologists studying the hypnosis effects, behavioral economists examining commitment devices, and sociologists analyzing trust formation.

Q1 2026: Standards and Scale

Interoperability Emerges

The Promise Schema v0.9 is published as an open standard, compatible with existing tools:

  • Integration with project management platforms (Asana, Linear)
  • HR systems can issue and track professional development promises
  • Civic platforms can display community promises

All using the same underlying data model

The Protocol Hardens

Based on early learnings, the hypnosis-informed protocol is refined:

  • Micro-promises (≤2 weeks) for building momentum
  • Renegotiation windows that prevent all-or-nothing failures
  • Group witnessing sessions that normalize both success and learning from failure
  • Repair pathways that transform broken promises into relationship-building opportunities

Cross-Domain Validation

Independent evaluations begin showing consistent effects across contexts:

  • Clinical settings: reduced anxiety and increased treatment adherence
  • Educational environments: higher assignment completion rates
  • Workplace teams: improved sprint velocity and psychological safety
  • Community organizing: increased volunteer retention and follow-through

Q2 2026: Product-Market Fit

The Design Breakthrough

Version 1.0 of the Public Promise includes critical innovations:

  • Selective disclosure: Users control what's public vs. private
  • Reputation curves: Weight recent promises more heavily than old ones
  • Difficulty adjustment: Complex promises earn more reputation than simple ones
  • Grace mechanics: Renegotiation doesn't count as failure if done transparently

Trust Infrastructure

Technical foundations solidify:

  • Decentralized identity verification (no single point of failure)
  • Attestation systems that work both on-chain and off-chain
  • Privacy-preserving aggregation (see trends without individual exposure)
  • Audit trails that prevent retroactive editing while allowing corrections

Cultural Bridge-Building

The movement consciously bridges different communities:

  • Therapists frame it as "making the unconscious conscious and accountable"
  • Technologists see it as "trust as a protocol"
  • Policy makers understand it as "measurable integrity for public service"
  • Artists explore it as "radical honesty as social sculpture"

Q3-Q4 2026: The Cascade Effect

Institutional Adoption

Early adopters create pressure for broader adoption:

  • Three Fortune 500 companies pilot Promise-based OKRs
  • Five cities incorporate Promise tracking into procurement scoring
  • Two university systems use Promises for student success programs
  • A major foundation ties grant disbursements to Promise milestones

Network Effects Activate

As more people make promises, the value of participation increases:

  • Teams with Promise practices report 30% less coordination overhead
  • Communities with >100 active promisors show measurable increases in civic participation
  • Dating apps begin showing Promise-completion rates as trust signals
  • Freelance marketplaces integrate Promise history into reputation systems

The First Backlash

Critics raise legitimate concerns:

  • "Surveillance moralism" and social credit score fears
  • Equity issues (who can afford to fail publicly?)
  • Gaming and manipulation risks
  • Cultural imposition concerns

The movement responds not defensively but transparently:

  • Publishing detailed failure analyses
  • Creating "Promise equity funds" for those who need support
  • Implementing random audits and gaming detection
  • Emphasizing local adaptation over universal mandates

Q1-Q2 2027: Systems Integration

Governance Emerges

A federated governance structure develops:

  • An open foundation stewards the core standard (like W3C)
  • Regional chapters adapt practices to local contexts
  • Ethics committees handle disputes and edge cases
  • Independent auditors verify impact claims

Evidence Accumulates

Multiple studies converge on key findings:

  • Promise-keeping correlates with but doesn't reduce to conscientiousness
  • The hypnosis component adds 15-20% to completion rates
  • Public visibility adds another 10-15%
  • Renegotiation options prevent shame spirals and increase long-term engagement

Political Experiments

Several jurisdictions experiment with Unrival principles:

  • City councils make public promises about policy implementation
  • Candidates publish verifiable commitment platforms
  • Some ballots include "Unrival-certified" designation for transparency pledges
  • Community boards use Promise walls for participatory budgeting

Q3 2027: The Turning

By September 2027, the movement has achieved critical mass:

Observable Infrastructure

  • Technical: Interoperable Promise systems used by millions
  • Social: Promise-keeping as a visible social norm
  • Institutional: Organizations routinely publish integrity dashboards
  • Cultural: Renegotiation normalized as integrity, not failure

Measured Impact

  • Trust indices rising in participating communities
  • Collaboration costs decreasing measurably
  • Goal achievement rates up 20-30% across domains
  • Mental health indicators improving in engaged populations

Global-Local Pattern

The movement spreads not through central control but through:

  • Open standards that anyone can implement
  • Local adaptation of core principles
  • Peer-to-peer learning networks
  • Story-sharing that emphasizes learning over preaching

The Mechanics of Change

Why It Works: Systems Perspective

The movement succeeds by addressing multiple leverage points simultaneously:

  • Information Flows: Making integrity visible changes behavior without force
  • Feedback Loops: Quick cycles between promise and result accelerate learning
  • System Goals: Shifting from "looking good" to "building trust"
  • Paradigms: Reframing integrity from moral judgment to practical skill

Why It Works: Psychological Perspective

The hypnosis component provides unique advantages:

  • Bypasses conscious resistance to change
  • Aligns unconscious drivers with conscious goals
  • Creates vivid future memories that pull behavior forward
  • Reduces anxiety around commitment and failure

Why It Works: Sociological Perspective

The movement creates new social facts:

  • Promises become "boundary objects" that different groups can use
  • Metrics create commensuration without flattening moral complexity
  • Rituals around promise-making build collective effervescence
  • Visible integrity becomes a form of social capital

Why It Works: Economic Perspective

The Public Promise solves a market failure:

  • Reduces transaction costs by making trust verifiable
  • Creates positive externalities (my integrity helps your planning)
  • Enables new forms of cooperation previously too risky
  • Generates network effects that compound value

Critical Success Factors

Several elements prove essential:

  • Starting with the willing: Early adopters aren't forced but invited
  • Measuring what matters: Focus on throughput (trust created) not activity
  • Embracing failure: Broken promises with learning valued over hidden failures
  • Distributed ownership: No single organization controls the movement
  • Cultural sensitivity: Local adaptation encouraged, not suppressed
  • Technical simplicity: Core promise structure fits on an index card
  • Ethical vigilance: Continuous monitoring for harm and swift correction

The Path Forward from Q3 2025

For someone standing in the present moment, the path is clear:

Next 30 Days

  • Convene your initial circle across the four quadrants
  • Draft your Promise Schema and test it with 20 people
  • Run one hypnosis-aligned session and document results
  • Publish your ethics framework and invite criticism

Next 60 Days

  • Launch three distinct pilot cohorts
  • Build your minimum viable Promise tracker
  • Begin pre-registered evaluation studies
  • Create your first cultural artifacts (videos, stories)

Next 90 Days

  • Publish initial results with radical transparency
  • Open-source your tools and protocols
  • Form partnerships across at least two sectors
  • Establish your governance principles

Conclusion: Why This Future is Plausible

This retrograde analysis reveals not a utopian fantasy but a plausible path based on:

  • Precedent: Successful commitment devices (stickK), reputation systems (eBay), and behavior change programs (AA) show the components work
  • Timing: Current trust crisis creates demand for solutions
  • Technology: Existing standards (W3C VC, attestation systems) provide infrastructure
  • Evidence: Hypnosis and commitment research provide scientific backing
  • Simplicity: Core mechanism simple enough to explain, complex enough to be useful

The Unrival movement succeeds not by solving all problems but by solving the right problem: creating verifiable trust that enables everything else. From Q3 2025 to September 2027, each step builds logically on the previous one, creating a cascade that transforms individual integrity into collective possibility.

The race to awaken agency has begun. The tools exist. The path is marked. What remains is the choice to begin.